Monday, 5 September 2016

Trump draws even with Hillary - we are seeing a people's revolt against liberalism

Lots of coming-of-age novels will be set in 2016.

2016 is seeing a people's revolt against liberalism. I doubt it has very much chance even if Trump wins, but we'll see.

Donald Trump is tied with Hillary Clinton, representing a big improvement for him, according to the latest Reuters/Ipsos national tracking poll that came out on Friday.

I expected this to happen, but saw no point in saying so. He has been climbing in the polls

steadily while papers print articles about how hopelessly he's doing.

Every day I put in Trump and polls into Google News and find a list of news items showing an improvement in his numbers and a list of articles saying how badly he is doing. Clearly for journalists the wish is father to the thought but I suspect the real reason for the bias is the reason the BBC is so biassed against Europsceptics and UKIP and the right in general. They don't know anyone who thinks like that or who could imagine thinking like that.

The LA Times produced a poll that showed Trump in the lead and it was confusingly accompanied by an article reminding readers that most polls showed him behind, but that Mr Trump

still has a potential route to victory, albeit a difficult one that would require him to coax many people who sat out the last election to vote this time around.

Michael White, of the Guardian but nevertheless very shrewd, expects him to win and thinks it

potentially the most dangerous event of my life.
And he is 70.

And Henry Kissinger intends to endorse Hillary.

People who think Mr. Trump has no chance are very deluded. (Perhaps liberalism is a mental problem, after all.) But his success is because he is saying what people want to hear. People who hate him should ask themselves if it is his millions of supporters whom they don't like. I am reminded of Bismarck:

The statesman's task is to hear God's footsteps marching through history, and to try and catch on to His coattails as He marches past.

I don't trust or like Trump very much but I do like his supporters. I like the popular movement to which he is giving voice (similar people to the Tea Party but very different policies). He'll probably do very well in the debates. And ISIS will probably stage more massacres. Whether or not they are intended to help him, this will be their effect.

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