tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-891289711377156224.post143505860321678954..comments2024-03-28T09:46:24.020+02:00Comments on A Political Refugee From The Global Village : TweetsUnknownnoreply@blogger.comBlogger1125tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-891289711377156224.post-16659262577391101562018-11-23T10:09:06.540+02:002018-11-23T10:09:06.540+02:00'desperate circumstances...'
There is no ...'desperate circumstances...'<br /><br />There is no obvious deal that is both acceptable to the EU and likely to pass in the House of Commons.<br /><br />May’s hope, such as it is, is that desperate circumstances will lead unionists or euroskeptics to back down, or that impending crisis will realign parliamentary politics around centrist Labour, Conservative, and Liberal Democratic politicians, who could coalesce temporarily to bring a deal through. For now, however, there is little visible evidence that this will happen. Even if there is a majority on paper for such a deal, May knows that it would probably break the Conservative Party in two. Rather, the odds of a no-deal Brexit that nearly no one wants keeps on rising, because there’s no better answer that people can unite around.<br /><br />https://www.foreignaffairs.com/articles/united-kingdom/2018-11-20/no-deal-brexit-still-avoidable<br /><br />No deal<br /><br />It’s very easy to say “Parliament doesn’t want no deal” or “No government would ever let no deal happen”. The problem is that a no-deal exit is the default scenario. It’s what happens if no one blinks, or if everyone just assumes that “something” will prevent no deal. Given all the other scenarios require someone to give up their political project, risk electoral damage or potentially split their party, and everyone essentially assumes that someone else will decide that they are prepared to give up their political project, suffer electoral damage or split their party, we should be much more alive to the possibility that, despite everything, a no deal exit might actually happen.<br /><br /><br />Stephen Bush,<br />special correspondent at the New Statesman, the EI Political Commentator of the Year, and the PSA's Journalist of the Year.<br />https://www.newstatesman.com/politics/elections/2018/11/theresa-may-s-deal-isn-t-going-pass-so-what-s-going-happen<br /><br />Yanis Varoufakis: “The EU declared war and Theresa May played along”<br /><br />“The UK should never have entered the negotiations,” he told me when we met afterwards. “You do not negotiate with the EU because the EU does not negotiate with you. It sends a bureaucrat, in this case it was Mr Barnier…they could have sent an android, or an algorithm.”<br /><br />May’s fatal error, Varoufakis said, was to accept a two-phase negotiation: a divorce agreement followed by a new trade deal. “This was a declaration of war because Barnier said: ‘You will give us everything we want: money, people, Ireland. And only then will we discuss what you want.’ Well, that isn’t a negotiation, that’s a travesty. And Theresa May agreed to play along.”<br /><br />https://www.newstatesman.com/politics/brexit/2018/11/yanis-varoufakis-eu-declared-war-and-theresa-may-played-alongTomahttps://www.blogger.com/profile/14355268309169462651noreply@blogger.com