Saturday, 15 July 2023

Freedom is dying in Europe and in most places except the USA

“Liberty lies in the hearts of men and women; when it dies there, no constitution, no law, no court can even do much to help it.” 

Judge Learned Hand, an American judge from the early 20th century whose curious name we all vaguely know, spoke a profound truth.

Love of freedom has long been considered shockingly right-wing by the opinion formers in Western Europe. Since at least the mid 1960s. 


Friday, 14 July 2023

"Do we want to end up in a situation when Putin will survive and he will have more time? Something like the lull between the first and second world war.”'

I do not love the Financial Times. It is the mouthpiece for all the ideas I most dislike, but I did once because it was a good, factual news source. It still is, if you discount for its bias towards what you might call globalism. Anglo-American Russia expert Fiona Hill thinks the word an antisemitic slur but it of course isn't and I think is useful. If you prefer we can say liberal internationalist instead. 'Pro-US bipartisan establishment, pro-Nato, pro-EU, liberal internationalist,' if you like.

I blogged about a great article in the FT on February 23, 2023 about why Putin invaded Ukraine. I also printed the article off and rereading it this week I was struck by this short passage.


'In ramping up military support for Ukraine, western officials are mindful anything less than a crushing defeat for Russia risks failing to deal with the problem.
'“We need to ask ourselves: How do we want this to end up? Do we want to end up in a situation when Putin will survive and he will have more time?” says an EU foreign minister. “Something like the lull between the first and second world war.”'

This is how many think. The Hitler analogy again. War against Russia that resembles the world wars against first the Kaiser then Hitler.

The idea that Russia has reasons (whatever international law says) for wanting Ukraine in her sphere of interests makes no sense to modern European diplomats except in Hungary. On the other hand by invading Crimea Ukraine had become an enemy of Russia forever.

They prefer to think in terms of criminology rather than of politics.

They think Putin is a homicidal maniac with Napoleonic or Hitlerian ambitions.

My American friends who think the US should have fought the Russians in Crimea in 2014 think this. I asked one why he thought Putin had waited so long before behaving like this. 'Because he was cementing his dictatorship. This was always his plan.' 

That is really how many American opinion-formers think. They do not consider that inviting Ukraine to join Nato in 2008 at Bucharest might have had anything to do with it.

Thursday, 13 July 2023

Quotations

'A false sense of security is the only kind there is.' Michael Meade


"She plucked from my lapel the invisible strand of lint (the universal act of woman to proclaim ownership)." O. Henry


“The feminists hate me, don’t they? And I don’t blame them. For I hate feminism. It is poison.” 
Margaret Thatcher said this to Paul Johnson, according to a piece he wrote for The Spectator in 2011.


'People who don't believe in their own religion are destined to be conquered by people who believe in theirs.' Bunny Sheffield




Hitler forever

I told a highly intelligent American friend (Catholic, Republican, usually commonsensical) who was high up in the US State Department, that for neo-cons it is always 1938. (Paul Gottfried said that first.) My friend replied that that's because it is always 1938!

There you have the history of the post-war period.

The invasion of Ukraine was caused by Hitler analogies (in Putin's mind), the new cold war with Russia will have been caused by Hitler analogies, like the invasion of Iraq and the overthrow of Gaddafi, like the Cold War and the Suez adventure. 

Donald Trump prevented Assad being overthrown because of Hitler analogies but was almost overthrown because of them himself.



100° today in my beloved Paris of the East. In July it feels very Balkan, dusty, shabby, romantic. The perfect place for me, as I knew when I first came here in 1990.

Wednesday, 12 July 2023

Note well

"If the UK continues with the same level of growth it has seen for the last decade, Poland will be richer than Britain in about 12 years’ time.” Sam Ashworth-Hayes

“We actually live in a world where it is imaginable that in less than 10 years living standards in Poland have exceeded living standards in Britain.” US economist Tyler Cowen talking recently an audience in Westminster

The economics of thinness and other quotations


"Anyone who takes a sure road is as good as dead." Carl Jung

"Brunettes are full of electricity." Auguste de Villiers de l'Isle-Adam

"Rich women are much thinner than poor women but rich men are about as fat as poor men." The Economist, Dec 20th 2022 The economics of thinness

I posted this 7 years and 1 day ago

Overheard in the Athénée half an hour ago. (I hate calling it the Hilton.) 

'How are things in Britain?' 
'The middle classes are still in shock.' 
It is a pleasure to think most of the right of centre and left-wing middle classes have been defeated, but in fact it is a bit illusory. 43% of graduates voted Leave.
What saddens me is that the FCO will give us EU-lite, because the EU project is their life's mission. I increasingly feel that leaving the single market altogether might be best thing we could do. 
I also think it is increasingly obvious that leaving the EU is exactly what the British always wanted and the right thing to do. 'Let freedom ring'. 
And a victory for rootedness over citizens of the world. And a victory for people like Roger Scruton, Charles Moore, Douglas Murray and the people of England. We are many, they are not few but slightly fewer than us. It was a glorious victory.

How gracefully Farage conceded defeat a few minutes after 10 p.m. on referendum night after hearing the opinion poll results. Compare and contrast the behaviour of very many vocal Remain supporters, who want Parliament to ignore the result.

I sincerely hope I do not take pleasure in others' misfortunes but the agony of the Remain supporters has it's funny side. 

Sunday, 9 July 2023

Quotations


"As soon as you trust yourself, you will know how to live." 

Goethe

“The devil is like a rabid dog tied to a chain; beyond the length of the chain he cannot seize anyone. And you: keep at a distance. If you approach too near, you let yourself be caught.” 

Padre (St.) Pio 

"The suburbs that burned are precisely the ones that the French state has invested more than 30 billion euros in "improving" over the past 20 years. The result has been the creation of a whole generation of "assisted" people whose ethnic and/or religious backgrounds are treated as heirlooms to justify government handout in various guises".

My modest proposal to end the war in Ukraine

I think Henry Kissinger was right that inviting Ukraine to join Nato provoked Putin to invade. Who can doubt it?

He might well also be right that now Ukraine should join Nato.

My suggestion for the basis for a durable peace now is this. A ceasefire that lasts forever (this is how the war will almost certainly end). Russia holds what she occupies. Ukraine and world do not recognise her right to do so. Ukraine joins Nato, which will deter another attack by Russia.

It is not ideal, it is not just, but peace is better than justice, as a Romanian monk recently told Rod Dreher.

Saturday, 8 July 2023

"Ukraine's disastrous counter-offensive"

I'd never heard of retired Lieutenant Colonel Davis till now. In this interesting interview from two weeks ago the American said that the "disastrous" Ukrainian counter-offensive had failed and that Biden should not have engaged so much with the Ukrainian war effort.

He thought that there was no rational military path for Ukraine to win back her lost territories.

He could well be right. I agree with him that Barak Obama was right not to support a proxy war between Ukraine and Russia in 2014.

The interviewer mentions the Russian desire for an empire. Most Russians and many Americans think Americans are the ones who have an empire.

American empire




'The process of European integration has historically not been a European project but rather an American one.

'It is an American project both ideologically and politically. Ideologically because, from the American viewpoint, the European continent is home to quarrelsome micro-states still trapped in their own history, unlike the United States of America which broke away from its past, discovered the secret of good government in 1776, and never looked back. That secret is to be found in federalism and constructivism—the idea that a polity can be created ex nihilo, based on rational principles alone, and free from the determinisms of history. It is this invented nature of the American republic that gives it its famous millenarianism—novus ordo saeclorum or “the end of history” as it has been more commonly known in recent years. The European project is inspired by the same idea that Europe should turn its back on its own history and embrace a constructivist and rationalist project in order to achieve peace.

'Politically, this deep American conviction that Europe should Americanise has been conjugated since 1945 with the conviction that the U.S. needs to maintain a military presence in Europe to ensure its global hegemony. Without a bridgehead on the Eurasian continent, the “island” state cannot hope to dominate the “World Island,” to use Sir Halford Mackinder’s terms for the U.S.A. and the Eurasian continent. Americans hold their inter-war isolationism responsible for the outbreak of World War II because, with a Hobbesian logic, they believe that their power is the only antidote to the otherwise anarchical society of international relations.'


This is from an essay by the idiosyncratic thinker John Laughland in January and is, of course, true. 

It is exactly how Robert Kaplan and Victoria Nuland think and how the late John McCain did. 

The alternative to the American empire is literally Hitler. He's dead but he won't lie down.

After Hitler the role was reprised by a series of people from Stalin to Putin, Orban and of course Donald Trump.

Friday, 7 July 2023

The history of the word fascism

In 19th century Italy the bundle of rods, fascio, came to symbolise strength through unity, because whilst each independent rod was fragile, as a bundle they were strong. Fascio came to mean union, band or league in the 1870s and was used by groups of revolutionary democrats in Sicily to describe themselves. 

The word had heroic, revolutionary connotations. Young men who demanded Italian intervention in World War I formed fasci and it was to one of these groups, with no party affiliation, that Benito Mussolini belonged.

The Italian fascists had imitators throughout Europe and beyond until the end of the 1939-1945 war. Since then there have been few who use the word of themselves. 

As Douglas Murray said, the need for fascists (by progressives) far outstrips the supply.

Franco remained after 1945 but he strictly speaking was not a fascist. He was supported by three organisations, one of which, the Falange, was. Salazar was not one either, just another right-wing, reactionary Catholic dictator. 

The interview with Stanley Payne in the National Review that I mentioned below quotes Orwell who said "Fascism has now no meaning except in so far as it signifies ‘something not desirable.’” 

The history of the vexatious words capitalism, democracy and racism

"Capitalism" is first found in 1854 to mean the "condition of having capital". In 1872 it was first used to mean a political and economic system, by socialists who disapproved of it.

"There is no satisfactory definition of the term, though nothing is more evident than the thing" said the entry on "Capitalism" in the 1929 edition of Encyclopaedia Britannica, written by J.L. Garvin.

It's a word to beware of. Its meaning is not clear and it still implies to some extent a negative connotation, however much it is used by people who think it a good thing.

Quotations


'Like the wheel, bronze, iron, the stirrup, gunpowder, guns, rifling, navigational instruments, airplanes, and submarines, the hypersonic missile is about to change warfighting dramatically, perhaps causing the demise of the Navy’s carrier fleet and its air wing—which is what America has used to project power since WWII. There’s no question that a surface fleet, especially carriers and planes, will still have vital functions to perform, but if it comes to war among major powers with thousands of hypersonic missiles ready to launch, then a pilot lifting off a carrier deck would look anachronistic, like something belonging in the 20th, not the 21st, century.


'We may long for the romantic and heroic days when acts of military derring-do were performed by Medal of Honor recipients, but it looks like the future belongs to the ugly, impersonal, and utilitarian high-tech hypersonic missile.'

Roger D. McGrath. This is from a very interesting short article about how military technology changes history by the military historian. The use of the stirrup, which the Saxons didn't have, enabled the Normans to conquer England.

Thursday, 6 July 2023

Are the werewolf and vampire myths based on memories of a war between Cro-Magnon Man and Neanderthals?

I just listened to a short talk on the origin of the werewolf and vampire myths. 

I don't think those myths were of great importance before Hollywood used them, by the way, but all myths are very interesting and appealing, to me at least. 

Even though fairy tales bored me to tears when I was three or four I love them now. Why, I don't know.

Were Neanderthals the original vampires?

Others think vampires are linked to the rare disease porphyria, which makes sufferers flee the sun. 

Perhaps porphyria is a Neanderthal legacy. 

Vampires are not important in Romanian culture, by the way. An Anglo-Irish pulp fiction writer copied the idea of a vampire story from another more gifted Anglo-Irishman, who had set his vampire story not in Transylvania but in Styria in Austria.

I have no idea if Robert Sepehr is a good authority but his theories about war between Cro-Magnon and cannibalistic Neanderthals who saw well in the dark are worth hearing, though his stuff smacks slightly of the stuff people like Erich von

Wednesday, 5 July 2023

“We have met the enemy and he is us"

This is the beginning of an astonishing article in the achingly liberal, globalist, Democrat newspaper the New York Times, about Richard N. Haass, the outgoing president of the oldest American foreign policy think tank, the Council on Foreign Relations, set up by the daddy of American liberal foreign policy, President Woodrow Wilson.

It seems Mr Haas, 71, has witnessed a shaft of light before the setting of the sun. 

It reminds me of the mystical experiences that Aquinas and Pascal experienced late in life which they said were worth more than all their philosophy.


Everywhere he has gone as president of the Council on Foreign Relations, Richard N. Haass has been asked the same question: What keeps him up at night? He has had no shortage of options over the years — Russia, China, Iran, North Korea, climate change, international terrorism, food insecurity, the global pandemic.

But as he steps down after two decades running America’s most storied private organization focused on international affairs, Mr. Haass has come to a disturbing conclusion. The most serious danger to the security of the world right now? The threat that costs him sleep? The United States itself.

“It’s us,” he said ruefully the other day.

Unanswerable


And of course the threat to the United Kingdom comes from illegal immigrants, 'refugees' and terrorists, not state actors. 

 

Ukraine's tragic mistakes and Joe Biden, who encouraged them, losing his grip




'And (I'm serious about this), the retired Francis would face criminal prosecution for his alleged complicity in abuse cover-ups and if found guilty would be laicised and maybe receive a jail sentence. I mean it.' Damian Thompson, former editor of the Catholic Herald.

Tuesday, 4 July 2023

And after many a summer dies the swan

At breakfast yesterday on the terrace opposite the National Bank a lady at the next table with a German accent was deploring this story about Old Man Biden making AI woke. 

I deplore it too. It seems the developed world is a country under enemy occupation. 

She said 'I agree with everything Trump said. Even his remarks about girls. Those girls are only interested in money, baby'. 

She thinks Biden should go to prison. I didn't hear why. 

I wish my Romanian was good enough to eavesdrop - eavesdropping is the best source of writing material.

A Romanian friend, who publishes novels in America and has to keep her liking for Donald Trump a secret if she wishes to continue to be published, says AI 'already is woke. I use it.'

The US Democrats and Western progressives are like an army of killer zombies. 

I should keep telling you what taxi drivers say about the Ukrainian war. The last two once again divide the blame but think America provoked Russia. The second talked about how badly ethnic Romanians are treated in Ukraine. And how much money given to Ukraine is stolen.

One hears both those points quite often. Both are true but I remember an American who lives here getting angry when I mentioned the stealing. He's a Democrat. He has lived here eighteen years but has not learnt cynicism. 

It is naivete which runs right through American foreign policy, like the word Southend through a stick of rock .

A close Romanian friend told me last night that there is no hope for West and suddenly for the very first time after years of doomsaying, I felt a cold chill of something like despair.

But I refuse to despair. 

She has and moved to the countryside, and a village with a convent, to escape modernity. 

I said that Bucharest was my refuge and by British standards it is one. 

For the time being.

It's a bit like the civilised, Christian Britons after the Romans left, waiting for the German barbarians. 

That was the moment when King Arthur fought and we should too. 

He is at least a beautiful heroic myth.

Here is something good but very frightening that I read just now in an article by William Lind called The Future of War.


<The origin of fourth-generation war lies not in technology nor in tactics, but in a vastly larger phenomenon: a growing and near-universal crisis of the legitimacy of the state. All around the world, the state has become a prisoner of a new class—an elite class that can’t make things work, that uses its wealth and power to insulate itself from the consequences of things not working, and which cares about only one thing: remaining the elite.

The non-elite majority is seeing through the game and trying, where they are allowed, to vote the bastards out; hence the victory of President Donald Trump in 2016. But the whole elite rallies to defend its position, often by destroying the person who threatened to topple it. And when populist forces do score a victory, the deep state mobilizes to thwart them at every turn. Eventually, ordinary people just switch the whole thing off.

But that “thing” includes their primary loyalty. Instead of giving it to the state, which they now view as illegitimate, they bestow it, as before Westphalia, on a wide variety of alternatives: on races and ethnic groups, religions and cults, business enterprises (legal and illegal), gangs, regions, causes such as “animal rights” and radical environmentalism—again, the list is endless. And many of these people, who would never fight for the state, willingly, even eagerly, fight for their new primary loyalty. (The environmentalist who engages in “tree spiking” by burying a metal rod in a tree, hoping to kill a logger, is committing an act of war, not just a crime.)

And so states dissolve in a many-sided civil war, returning one former state after another to a Hobbesian state of nature, a place where life is dominated by wandering groups of armed men taking whatever they want from anyone too weak to resist.>

This sentence spoke to me very loudly: 'And when populist forces do score a victory, the deep state mobilizes to thwart them at every turn.'

Yes indeed.

I hope and think the article is too alarmist and that there is a lot of ruin in a nation (Adam Smith). 

Mr Lind, however, says that as a young woman in the 1930s his mother would walk home late at night through white or black areas in Washington DC without giving it a moment's thought. 

A friend of mine grew up in a Nairobi the size of Chelmsford and almost as safe. 

Baghdad used to be safe under the monarchy, Kingston, Jamaica under British rule, Paris under the Fourth Republic.