NATO countries including the USA are in a terrible danger from the consequences of US policy towards Russia since Clinton attacked Kosovo. It could go horribly badly.
Is it possible for America, Great Britain and Europe to make terms with Russia and be on good terms with Russia before Odessa falls?
If he had the wisdom of Metternich or Bismarck Merz would see that peace and trade with Russia and China offer many advantages.
Germany made big sacrifices when she obeyed Biden, stopped trade with Russia and went cold on China.
A German friendship with China is Washington’s greatest fear.
The worst possibility is that Europe will slide into war as it did in 1914 and 1939, from incompetent diplomacy. I don't see it happening but it is not impossible.
NATO of course is the reason for the war in Ukraine.
We knew it before but this post by Arnaud Bertrand makes it even clearer.
This piece, by Naman Habtom of Quincy Institute, is something that Europeans should think long and hard about: why has integrating Russia into regional frameworks produced security and low military budgets in Asia, while excluding Russia has produced the opposite in Europe?
Very striking to see that over the past 30 years, most of Russia's neighbors in Asia - and that includes China - have been REDUCING their military budgets as a share of GDP.
I actually checked and European neighbors of Russia spend roughly 3x more on defense as a share of GDP than Russia's Asian neighbors. Even more striking, the closer a European country is to Russia and the further east it sits, the more it spends (Poland/Baltics at 3-4%), while in Asia the pattern is reversed - Mongolia and Kazakhstan, with the longest borders, spend the least (0.5-0.6%).
And it's not an "autocracy" thing. As the article highlights, Mongolia is actually rated more democratic by Freedom House than several NATO members like Bulgaria or Poland (freedomhouse.org/countr…). And it is, like them, a former Soviet satellite state.
Which means the difference isn't regime type - it's strategic architecture. Mongolia, and the region as a whole, chose integration over exclusion. The result: more security, and at a fraction of the cost.
He links to this.
Most of us know by now, despite misinformation in the traditional media, that USA is the most dangerous country in the world, much more so than Russia or North Korea, except in the Middle East, where Israel is the great danger and the USA acts as a restraining influence.
It seems likely to me that the (primarily Anglo-American) motivation is driven by a strategic hostility to Russia that goes back about 150 years; as Terry Boardman has described (see last three essays on page) http://threeman.org/?cat=4
ReplyDeleteBruce G Charlton
Border states Mongolia and Kazakhstan have small economies and long-standing ties to Russia.
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