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A canny American project manager friend emailed me this.
Yeah, the lockdown is a bit crazy and overkill. At least here, it has exposed the idiots in government and proven that each and every one of us is truly on our own. In a country of 335 million people and in a country that spends $700 billion a year on defense, we apparently had just 12 million units of gowns, masks, gloves, and protective gear. New Zealand, with a population of 12 million, had 18 million reserve units of hospital gear.
I'm certainly glad we did not have a real catastrophe like a bombing or infectious outbreak for real. And if they don't remove the lockdown in the next 30 days, there won't be an economy to save at all. I think that goes for every country too.
My thinking is that they will soon find a drug combination that will keep most people out of the hospital. So no vaccine for a while, but a way to just keep nearly everyone from the ICU ward.
Here, the politicians don't understand there is a real cost to forcing everyone to stay at home. Drugs, alcoholism, depression, even domestic abuse - people are not hard wired to stay indoors and alone. Plus, all the politicians are rich so they have plenty and live in their nice houses.
Here, the politicians don't understand there is a real cost to forcing everyone to stay at home. Drugs, alcoholism, depression, even domestic abuse - people are not hard wired to stay indoors and alone. Plus, all the politicians are rich so they have plenty and live in their nice houses.
ReplyDeleteYep. There's a big difference between "sheltering in place" when you live in a tiny flat and "sheltering in place" in a mansion with a swimming pool and tennis courts.
I agree that that we are likely to see a serious mental health crisis, with a big increase in suicides. And lots of elderly people dying from loneliness and despair.
Yeah,
ReplyDeleteAt least here,
In a country of... and in a country that
I'm certainly glad
And if
I think
My thinking is
So no vaccine for a while, but
Here, the politicians don't understand
Drugs, alcoholism, depression, even domestic abuse
Plus, all the politicians are rich so they have plenty and live in their nice houses.
Pure poetry. You go, girl!
For many years, the CDC has tracked the total number of Americans who die every week from pneumonia. For the last few weeks, that number has come in far lower than at the same moment in previous years. How could that be?
ReplyDeletehttps://www.foxnews.com/opinion/tucker-carlson-we-must-ask-the-experts-how-they-screwed-up-the-coronavirus-models-so-badly
COVID antibody test in German town
DeleteA team at the University of Bonn has tested a randomized sample of 1,000 residents of the town of Gangelt in the north-west of the country, one of the epicenters of the outbreak in Germany. The study found that two percent of the population currently had the virus and that 14 percent were carrying antibodies suggesting that they had already been infected — whether or not they experienced any symptoms. Eliminating an overlap between the two groups, the team concluded that 15 percent of the town have been infected with the virus.
Data from coronavirus deaths in Gangelt suggests an infection mortality rate of 0.37 percent, significantly below the 0.9 percent which Imperial College has estimated, or the 0.66 percent found in a revised study last week.
The 15 percent figure from Gangelt is interesting because it matches two previous studies. Firstly, there was the accidental experiment of the cruise ship the Diamond Princess, which inadvertently became a floating laboratory when a passenger showing symptoms of COVID-19 boarded on January 20 and remained in the ship, spreading the virus, for five days. The ship was eventually quarantined on February 3 and all its 3,711 passengers tested for the virus. It turned out the 634 of them — 17 percent — had been infected, many of them without symptoms. The mortality rate on the vessel was 1.2 percent — although, inevitably being a cruise ship, it was a relatively elderly cohort.
We gained another insight into SARS-CoV-2 from a Chinese study into 391 cases of COVID-19 in the southern Chinese city of Shenzhen. In this case, scientists tested everyone who shared a household with people who were found to be suffering from the disease. It turned out 15 percent of this group had gone on to be infected with SARS-CoV-2 themselves. Again, many showed no symptoms.
Obviously these are all small-scale studies and none of them are deliberate experiments to see how far SARS-CoV-2 will spread if it is allowed to ‘rip through’ a population. But they do raise the question: is there a ceiling on the number of people who are prone to be infected with the disease? Do many of us have some kind of natural protection against infection? Would it ever spread among more than about one in six of us?
The British government has based its planning and policy for COVID-19 on the assumption that if the virus was allowed to spread unchecked it would eventually infect 80 percent of the population. That is a figure that seems to have been borrowed from planning for a flu pandemic, but that doesn’t necessarily mean it applies to this virus.
Ross Clark
Spectator USA
CDC
DeleteCoronavirus Disease 2019 (COVID-19)
Cases & Surveillance
Key Points week 14
Based on death certificate data, the percentage of deaths attributed to COVID-19 was 6.9%.
The percentage of deaths due to pneumonia (excluding COVID-19 or influenza) was 7.2%.
https://www.cdc.gov/coronavirus/2019-ncov/covid-data/covidview/index.html?CDC_AA_refVal=https%3A%2F%2Fwww.cdc.gov%2Fcoronavirus%2F2019-ncov%2Fcovid-data%2Fcovidview.html
Filling out death certificates with a diagnosis of #COVID-19 whether the person actually died from COVID-19 or not:
ReplyDeletehttps://twitter.com/chrisbergPOVNOW?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw%7Ctwcamp%5Etweetembed%7Ctwterm%5E1247680994821509121%7Ctwgr%5E&ref_url=https%3A%2F%2Ffeedly.com%2Fi%2Flatest