Iran has won

Rupert Murdoch's Wall Street Journal says US officials have confirmed that Iran will get full access to a total of $100 billion of their money frozen (stolen) by America and $300 billion for reconstruction.

US intelligence agencies have assessed that Iran can now effectively shut down the Strait of Hormuz at will, three sources tell CNN. This is hardly news. “We have now handed Iran de facto control over the strait — a weapon more powerful than any nuke."

Iran has also learned it can leverage targeted strikes against Gulf energy infrastructure and deploy Houthis to close the Bab-el-Mandeb strait as an economic “nuclear option” if negotiations collapse. Again a statement of the obvious. 

Sweet are the uses of adversity, as I quoted before. 

But can Iran get Israel out of Lebanon?

Is there any point in American forces being in the Persian Gulf (the clue is in the name)?

The world looks on without sympathy for America or Israel. Many people have found to their amazement an unlikely hero in the Iranian government. 

As Disraeli said, the unexpected always happens but it's much more true now than during the cold war, which seems like a period of stability.