Sunday, 12 October 2025

I do not believe in this peace in Gaza

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There is actually no agreement. Israel wants Hamas to disarm and destroy the 50 percent of tunnels the IDF have not entered (so much for their destroying Hamas). I can't see that this is going to happen however much pressure the Gulf monarchies put on Hamas. In return has Netanyahu agreed a Palestinian state? I do not believe that. I imagine it's a ploy by him to get release of Hamas's hostages. The bright side is that American opinion is no longer pro Israel and the world sees that Israel came nowhere close to destroying Hamas, which fools thought was the reason for the killing.

Former US Ambassador Charles Freeman is always very wise, clever and decent. Please watch this podcast. Mr Freeman says the Gaza peace plan is not a peace plan and the killing was not about Hamas but about cleansing land of Arabs. He described the October 7 2023 attack as "a breakout from a concentration camp".

He starts thus.


What's your impression of the significance of this ceasefire?

Well, it has yet to be established as an effective ceasefire. Basically, what we have is yet another hostage exchange, accompanied by a ceasefire. And we've had this before in the case of Gaza.
it  is how the hostages, the Israeli hostages and the Palestinian hostages
held in Israeli jails, many on trumped up charges or no charges at all,
have been released in the past. The other thing about this is of course that Israel has a perfect record of violating every ceasefire it agrees to. The case of Lebanon is in point.
Israel agreed to withdraw from Lebanon, agreed to a ceasefire. It has not
withdrawn from Lebanon. It has violated the ceasefire 4,600 times. 

So there is a very strong possibility given the fractious politics on both sides that
there will be a violation of a ceasefire if it comes from the Palestinian side even if it's not Hamas if it's Islamic Jihad or some other group in Gaza that violates the ceasefire that will be attributed by Israel to Hamas and it will be used as a justification for resuming the full scale bombing. 

You noted that the Israeli pullback, not a withdrawal, is to about 60% of Gaza. 40% is now not being not directly occupied by the Israelis, but of course they still occupy Gaza., they're still there and in Israel the politics which mirror those in in Gaza, you know. Hamas is relatively reasonable. Some other factions are not. In Israel, we have the messianic Zionist ultraright saying they don't accept the ceasefire even though the war cabinet voted for it. We have Prime Minister Netanyahu saying that he plans to resume the war. Evidently President Trump put a lot of pressure on him, but the example of Lebanon again is apposite. That pressure will not continue.

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