Monday, 30 June 2025

Douglas Macgregor: The War Machine Is Out of Control — And It's Coming for YOU

Another interview with Douglas Macgregor. He thinks since the end of the Second World War things have been set up for the benefit of America and the private fortunes of various people. He expects Japan and South Korea will ask American troops to leave, he thinks the threat to Taiwan is clearly non existent, that Israel is an artificial creation which at one time might have done good for the Middle East. This looks less likely now. He expects a collapse in the bonds and derivative markets and this will make the increase in the American defence budget impossible. 

Meanwhile the Middle Eastern monarchies are terrified of their populaces who are angry with Israel.

Iran turned out to be much more cohesive than we thought and may get the bomb.

R.I.P John Charmley who exploded the Churchillian version of history

Churchill is said to have said

"History will be kind to me for I intend to write it.''

It has been and he did.

Though actually he did not say those words. He said

"For my part, I consider that it will be found much better by all parties to leave the past to history, especially as I propose to write that history myself."

John Charmley, perhaps the greatest historian of our time, utterly exploded the Churchillian version of history but the explosion has been ignored.

I so regret not meeting him. He was 
a true Tory and a devout Catholic, from a working class background. We often chatted on social media. He died this month.

This is my review of his two great books about Chamberlain and Churchill.

To my surprise the papers did not give him an obituary but I found this article from which I quote.

<Chamberlain was portrayed here not as a weak man but a strong one in control of his situation and working to bring foreign and defence policy into alignment. If British and French military commanders had held up their end and proven remotely competent in 1940, perhaps history would remember Chamberlain’s strategy quite differently. Much battlefield blame belonged with the brass hats.
But Charmley also argued that Chamberlain’s real error was to insist on intervening, diplomatically, in the Czech crisis in 1938. This put Britain and Germany on course for conflict and effectively moralised international politics by creating “duties” for Britain to uphold. Isolation was a wiser policy, Charmley felt, not least because it could have propelled Germany and the Soviet Union into collision earlier.
Then the Prime Minister unwisely issued a guarantee to Poland in early 1939 to “save face” at home ahead of a general election. Contrary to the standard view that Chamberlain had been insufficiently vigorous in his diplomacy, Charmley maintained that he had been insufficiently restrained. Britain imprudently went to war in order to save Stalin the job of confronting Hitler himself.
This interpretation was controversial, to say the least (Alan Clark wrote a positive review for the Spectator, but the Cabinet Office felt that “it was inconsistent with his position as a Minister of the Crown”, and so it was never published). Charmley took the view, correctly, that the Second World War had been a disaster for Britain.
His approach was similar to that of Peterhouse’s Maurice Cowling, whose earlier The Impact of Hitler (1975) had explored the political intrigues behind how Britain found itself waging this “liberal war”. Unlike Cowling’s prose, Charmley’s book remains a delight to read. Years later, he quipped that Chamberlain and the Lost Peace was “the English-language version” of The Impact of Hitler.
Yet Charmley’s next target was even more ambitious. In the biography Churchill: The End of Glory (1993), Charmley went elephant-hunting. Across almost 800 pages of tiny but magnificently written text, he charted the life and career of the most famous democratic politician of them all. Rather than salvaging a reputation, this time Charmley sought to blow one up. There was no reverence here. He argued that Churchill’s war leadership played a central role in the decline of British power and that to ignore brutal facts and to concentrate instead on the mythology of the Finest Hour is just romantic nonsense.
Churchill’s policies fatally weakened Britain and its empire; he was repeatedly outmanoeuvred by the Americans, who established a position of international pre-eminence at British expense; and he refused to even think much of the future, with disastrous results at home and abroad.
Charmley felt that, for Britain, the results of victory in 1945 were not worth the sacrifices that had been made. Britain went to war to stop the appalling regime in Berlin from dominating half of Europe, yet in 1945 an equally appalling regime in Moscow dominated half of Europe, with almost half a century more to come. Charmley judged the end of the British Empire to be damaging for British power and imperial subjects alike. As he put it, “the British Empire vanishing has had a very deleterious effect on the Third World.”>

Douglas Macgregor: Middle East Crisis Could Spark Global War, U.S. Dollar Losing Reserve Status

Iran is not close to getting the bomb and if they did the Middle East would be safer. Has the North Korean bomb made the world dangerous?

What is interesting is the larger numbers of Israelis who are leaving Israel. A Cypriot politician is complaining about the numbers. The Palestinians will sympathise.

Douglas Macgregor explains in this interview that America's attack on Iran was to use the cant word, performative. The Iranians knew the attack was coming and signalled their retaliation.

The Iranians did better than was widely expected and regime change is not going to happen. Israel will of course want to instal a puppet regime there.

This article in the Spectator from 2017  by John R. Bradley
Forget our misguided friendship with Saudi Arabia: Iran is our natural ally 
is still very relevant. Iran is not the West's enemy.


Wednesday, 25 June 2025

Quotations

“A high degree of intellect tends to make a man unsocial.”  Arthur Schopenhauer

"I have always felt a certain horror of political economists since I heard one of them say that the Famine in Ireland would not kill more than a million people, and that would scarcely be enough to do much good." Benjamin Jowett

“Till recently it was thought proper to pretend that all human beings are very much alike, but in fact anyone able to use his eyes knows that the average of human behaviour differs enormously from country to country.” George Orwell

Nearly 377,000 Gazans died since October 2023?

The official overall Arab death toll in Gaza now stands at 56, 077 but it does not include people missing trapped under the rubble. A report written by Israeli academic Yaakov Garb for the Harvard Dataverse estimates that nearly 377,000 Palestinians remain unaccounted for since October 2023.

A British writer who knows Gaza well said a year ago in a book serialised in the Times that the official figures were a considerable underestimate, oddly enough since they come from what Israel reminds us is the Hamas-run Gazan Ministry of Health.

Thursday, 19 June 2025

Quotations

"What is the news ? " asked the bird. Yudhisthira [whose name meant: firm in all battles] replied calmly:"In this cauldron filled with the grease of great delusion, with the fire of the sun and the fuel of day and night, stirring with the ladles of months and seasons, Time the great cook is cooking all of us living beings."
The Mahabharata








“The state is the great fiction by which everyone endeavors to live at the expense of everyone else.” Frederic Bastiat, the French economist.

Wednesday, 18 June 2025

How right Obama was about Iran and Ukraine

The only man who comes out well from the Israeli attack on Iran is Obama. How wise his agreement with Iran now looks.

He was also right not to arm Ukraine or fight a proxy war against Russia in 2014 but very wrong to help overthrow Yanukovych and Gaddafi.

Had Hillary said days before the 2016 general election that her top priority would have been "regime change in Syria".

She lost and the word dodged war but only for a time. It sees that the neo-cons are the undead.

I can't see any American, British or European interest at stake in the Middle East, now the Soviet Union has gone.

Monday, 2 June 2025

Quotations

“The price of anything is the amount of life you exchange for it.”

Henry David Thoreau

[What's the price of Facebook and X?]

"No duty is more important than that of returning thanks."

St. Ambrose

“In the European century that began in the 1840s from Engels's article of 1849 down to the death of Hitler, everyone who advocated genocide called himself a socialist, and no exception has been found.”

George Watson, The Lost Literature of Socialism (1998)

"Interestingly, until very recently the dominant orthodoxy was that the world was a far safer place with a single global superpower - the American Hegemon. How's that working out for you?"

Wednesday, 28 May 2025

Anthony Burgess deliciously described Canada as the colony that stayed at home to look after mother

I hate it that the King referred to 'the government' not 'my government'. I'm sorry that Mr. Carney, when he chose to visit Europe for his first foreign visit rather than Washington, visited Paris before London.

The last Prime Minister Justin Trudeau wore Adidas Gazelles for the King’s speech to the Canadian Parliament. 


I suppose it's a gesture of lack of respect for British colonialism and the monarchy. 

His father as a boy allegedly wore a German First World War helmet as a prank during the Second World War but this story is probably inaccurate. What is true is that the Trudeaus were probably the worst evil to befall Canada, though the elder Trudeau was a very clever man, unlike his son.

1957 was the last time the Sovereign opened the Ottawa Parliament. No-one would have dressed improperly then. Morning dress was the rule.


In 1885, by the way, the great Canadian Tory Prime Minister Sir John Macdonald told the House of Commons that, if the Chinese were not excluded from Canada, “the Aryan character of the future of British America should be destroyed …”

Monday, 19 May 2025

Quotations

"I say in speeches that a plausible mission of artists is to make people appreciate being alive at least a little bit. I am then asked if I know of any artists who pulled that off. I reply, ‘The Beatles did."

Kurt Vonnegut


“I don’t have fun. Actually, I had fun once, in 1962. I drank a whole bottle of Robitussin cough medicine and went in the back of a 1961 powder-blue Lincoln Continental to a James Brown concert with some Mexican friends of mine. I haven’t had fun since. It’s just not a word I like. It’s like Volkswagens or bellbottoms, or patchouli oil or bean sprouts. It rubs me up the wrong way. I might go out and have an educational and entertaining evening, but I don’t have fun.”

Tom Gallagher's reading of the Romanian election

Tom Gallagher, the leading historian of modern Romania, published this an hour ago on Twitter/X.

In Romania twenty years of presidential elections show you are doomed if you win the first round.
The success of the underdog, Nicusor Dan, with no party affiliation, and fighting a David v - Goliath battle as mayor of Bucharest, rested on the fear of city-dwellers that his uncouth opponent would wreck everything.
The main city in counties won by George Simion - Arges, Braila, Botosani, Neamt, Tulcea, Vilcea etc swung behind his moderate opponent because of the fear that material progress of the last few decades would disappear in an era of international confrontation and domestic strife .
Romanians are fed up and definitely keen to punish rulers who stole systematically and neglected to fix elementary problems. But they are also keenly aware how fragile their economic well-being is.
Simion's failure to speak about economics showed him to be dangerously unreliable among hardheaded voters who liked all or some of his nationalist message.
His zest for travelling up and down, and across Europe during the campaign, showed the super-patriot to be bored by the condition of the country.
This was an electrifying moment for Romania after 35 years of mainly stagnation by politicians, the kindest word to describe them being insipid.
A real debate about the direction of the country and what should be the priorities to focus on in troubled times and a war-torn part of Europe ensued this spring .
Behind his gentle demeanour, President Dan is a tough cookie, stubborn and resourceful.
He needs to bury the sense of betrayal left by his predecessor, the parasitic Saxon from Sibiu, Mr Iohannis and use his powerful office as an engine of renewal.
Otherwise, the ultras will soon be back, next time with a performer far more slicker and dangerous than the wretched Mr Simion.

The sovereignists will be certainly be back with someone better. Their time will come but it has not come yet.

I posted Tom's remarks on Facebook. The reply that impressed me was this from a young Romanian novelist.

Nicușor isn't an underdog, a tough cookie nor an independent. He's the puppet of the establishment. The elections are illegitimate after the December '24 cancellation. He represents the fiercely pro war EU establishment, and acts upon his commands obediently. He's also been an exceptionally bad mayor of the capital city.

I agree with most of that but also with most of the comments of Tom (who is fiercely pro-[continuing the Ukrainian] war, although fiercely anti-EU). 

I know nothing about what sort of man Nicusor Dan is. Mr Simion called him autistic. I understand what made him say that but it is not true and anyway who cares? Elon Musk says he has Asperger's syndrome and he's very effective.

I do know that the presidency is not usually very important but it is now, when the Prime Minister has resigned and the President has to arrange a new coalition government.

 

Saturday, 17 May 2025

Romanian presidential election

By 7 p.m. local time 610,000 Romanians abroad had voted, almost double the number at the same time during the first round. 100,000 (sic!) have voted in the United Kingdom and almost that number in Germany.

This makes me think Dan Nicușor will win. Most voters who want Simion voted last time.

Thursday, 15 May 2025

Quotations

"At what point will Israel say their revenge is complete?" Ha'aretz journalist Nir Hasson yesterday, while tweeting a censored image of a man holding a limb of a child in the aftermath of an attack in Gaza. Israeli newspaper Ha'aretz is very much more critical of the IDF than any Western mainstream paper 


"The administration is working on a plan to permanently relocate up to 1 million Palestinians from Gaza to Libya...for which the US would potentially release to Libya billions of dollars that the US froze over a decade ago." NBC news item


"Ukrainian intelligence officials said Russia appears to be gearing up for a larger offensive, moving forces to key hotspots on the battlefield..." Financial Times four days ago

"Most men die at 27, we just bury them at 72." Mark Twain
William James thought people become old fogeys at 26 but I think intelligent people aged between 28 and 30 are what make every country.

"If your government invites people in who are dangerous, or makes no effort to distinguish between the dangerous and the safe, doesn’t that show that they don’t care about you in the least?" Kathy Gyngell

"To be alive at all is to have scars." John Steinbeck

"'Praeposti sumus, et servi sumus; praesumus, sed si prosumus.' We are put in charge and we are servants; we possess authority, but only if we serve. There is no room in Augustine's concept of authority for one who is self-seeking and in search of power over others." 30 year old Fr. Prevost's doctoral thesis

“Only as a man surrenders himself to Divine Love may he hope for salvation, and salvation is open to all who surrender themselves.” Dante Alighieri


"All in all, the Romanian situation exposes a terrifying truth at work in European politics today: democracy is celebrated only when it produces the "correct" results. When voters choose candidates deemed unacceptable by the political establishment, suddenly the democratic process itself becomes suspect, allegedly compromised by "foreign interference" or other conveniently vague threats." Arnaud Bertrand talking about Romania


"Netanyahu wanted to attend Pope Leo XIV's inauguration ceremony but decided against it due to concerns over enforcement of the arrest warrant issued against him by the ICC." Ynet, Israeli news site

“A man who lies to himself, and believes his own lies, becomes unable to recognize truth, either in himself or in anyone else, and he ends up losing respect for himself and for others. When he has no respect for anyone, he can no longer love, and in him, he yields to his impulses, indulges in the lowest form of pleasure, and behaves in the end like an animal in satisfying his vices. And it all comes from lying — to others and to yourself.” Fyodor Dostoyevsky




Conversation

Modern popular novels have less description of natural surroundings. They don’t describe travels through terrain of ‘jagged rock and pointed crags.’ They focus more on the minds of characters in humdrum activity and describe modern homes. Interacting with older novels (19th century and before) will get harder as people can’t personally relate to naive relations with natural surroundings. These books will become harder to read not because they’re complex - but because they describe something so divorced from modern life.
Jerry Pournelle talked about this: his readers already have all the images they could want, whereas Tolstoy's readers wanted him to conjure up images in their minds' eye because they couldn't afford real pictures.