Tuesday 4 July 2023

And after many a summer dies the swan

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At breakfast yesterday on the terrace opposite the National Bank a lady at the next table with a German accent was deploring this story about Old Man Biden making AI woke. 

I deplore it too. It seems the developed world is a country under enemy occupation. 

She said 'I agree with everything Trump said. Even his remarks about girls. Those girls are only interested in money, baby'. 

She thinks Biden should go to prison. I didn't hear why. 

I wish my Romanian was good enough to eavesdrop - eavesdropping is the best source of writing material.

A Romanian friend, who publishes novels in America and has to keep her liking for Donald Trump a secret if she wishes to continue to be published, says AI 'already is woke. I use it.'

The US Democrats and Western progressives are like an army of killer zombies. 

I should keep telling you what taxi drivers say about the Ukrainian war. The last two once again divide the blame but think America provoked Russia. The second talked about how badly ethnic Romanians are treated in Ukraine. And how much money given to Ukraine is stolen.

One hears both those points quite often. Both are true but I remember an American who lives here getting angry when I mentioned the stealing. He's a Democrat. He has lived here eighteen years but has not learnt cynicism. 

It is naivete which runs right through American foreign policy, like the word Southend through a stick of rock .

A close Romanian friend told me last night that there is no hope for West and suddenly for the very first time after years of doomsaying, I felt a cold chill of something like despair.

But I refuse to despair. 

She has and moved to the countryside, and a village with a convent, to escape modernity. 

I said that Bucharest was my refuge and by British standards it is one. 

For the time being.

It's a bit like the civilised, Christian Britons after the Romans left, waiting for the German barbarians. 

That was the moment when King Arthur fought and we should too. 

He is at least a beautiful heroic myth.

Here is something good but very frightening that I read just now in an article by William Lind called The Future of War.


<The origin of fourth-generation war lies not in technology nor in tactics, but in a vastly larger phenomenon: a growing and near-universal crisis of the legitimacy of the state. All around the world, the state has become a prisoner of a new class—an elite class that can’t make things work, that uses its wealth and power to insulate itself from the consequences of things not working, and which cares about only one thing: remaining the elite.

The non-elite majority is seeing through the game and trying, where they are allowed, to vote the bastards out; hence the victory of President Donald Trump in 2016. But the whole elite rallies to defend its position, often by destroying the person who threatened to topple it. And when populist forces do score a victory, the deep state mobilizes to thwart them at every turn. Eventually, ordinary people just switch the whole thing off.

But that “thing” includes their primary loyalty. Instead of giving it to the state, which they now view as illegitimate, they bestow it, as before Westphalia, on a wide variety of alternatives: on races and ethnic groups, religions and cults, business enterprises (legal and illegal), gangs, regions, causes such as “animal rights” and radical environmentalism—again, the list is endless. And many of these people, who would never fight for the state, willingly, even eagerly, fight for their new primary loyalty. (The environmentalist who engages in “tree spiking” by burying a metal rod in a tree, hoping to kill a logger, is committing an act of war, not just a crime.)

And so states dissolve in a many-sided civil war, returning one former state after another to a Hobbesian state of nature, a place where life is dominated by wandering groups of armed men taking whatever they want from anyone too weak to resist.>

This sentence spoke to me very loudly: 'And when populist forces do score a victory, the deep state mobilizes to thwart them at every turn.'

Yes indeed.

I hope and think the article is too alarmist and that there is a lot of ruin in a nation (Adam Smith). 

Mr Lind, however, says that as a young woman in the 1930s his mother would walk home late at night through white or black areas in Washington DC without giving it a moment's thought. 

A friend of mine grew up in a Nairobi the size of Chelmsford and almost as safe. 

Baghdad used to be safe under the monarchy, Kingston, Jamaica under British rule, Paris under the Fourth Republic.

17 comments:

  1. “… nasty, brutish and short.”

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  2. Replies
    1. i see the problems with him but what was he wrong about? I can only think of arming Ukraine with 'lethal weapons' and sycophancy to Israel, but even the latter turned out to have a good consequence peace between Arab states and Israel.

      The manner in which he left office is appalling but if he were re-elected he is the only man who would refuse to have a Cold War with Russia (and China).

      Were he still in office ths terrible war would not have happened. He would probably also have left Afghanistan in a way that did not humiliate his country or himself.

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  3. That quote from Lind is very insightful. Let's hope you're instinct is right and he's a bit too pessimistic.

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  4. Your worldview is so dark and pessimistic, with a borderline paranoid view that sees many threats. You are an educated person who is doing well in your adopted country. Why can’t you be happier?

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    1. I am extremely happy, as a matter of fact. I resemble Mr Andrews, the old schoolfellow whom Dr Johnson met by chance in Fleet St, who told him "You are a philosopher. I too in my time have tried to be a philosopher but somehow cheerfulness was always breaking in". Far from being paranoid I am blindly optimistic by disposition. However if you are a traditionalist and social conservative, and especially if you are also Catholic, it is hard not to see the present century as disastrous and pregnant with horrors. My friend last night shook me out of my customary optimism, for the first time in my life.

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    2. Last week I quoted this from Cardinal Sarah and I think it explains what is happening. "Modern man has begun a terrible war against God and against man: a satanic war. This is why the spiritual battle with evil is part of the Christian life."

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    3. How cheerful and winning!

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    4. I am simply observing what is happening, seen from the point of view of one who believes in God and Satan. If you don't require that hypothesis but love Europe and Western civilisation, very terrible things are still happening.

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  5. " his mother would walk home late at night through white or black areas in Washington DC without giving it a moment's thought."

    Which reminds me that back in the mid-sixties my mother and I often went to the Prom concerts in the Albert Hall. This involved a train trip from the suburbs into Liverpool Street, followed by a long tube journey to "South Ken" then a longish walk through "the drain" tunnel to reach the hall - and all the way back again of course much later in the evening.

    I would have been about ten or eleven years old.

    Would you do it now? Thought not. Wonder why not?

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  6. States around the world are definitely collapsing and the West is now second world too.

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  7. It's a bit of a mystery how the guy who never won a majority of the popular vote, whose signature issue was a massive tax cut for rich people and corporations, and who was deeply unpopular for most of his Presidency, was a "populist" in any sense of the word.

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  8. From the Spectator today:
    'Why does Europe riot? That’s the question asked by Jonathan Miller, who in this week’s cover piece looks at the tumultuous events in Sweden, France, Germany, Switzerland and Belgium. The rule of law is being challenged by the rule of gangs, he says – and governments across Europe have no idea how to handle the situation. Swedish newspapers read like film scripts, with feuding gangs loyal to ‘the Kurdish Fox’ and ‘the Greek’, while in France, a day without riots now makes the news. Igor Toronyi-Lalic reports from Marseille, a city where ‘eruptions are as authentic a part of the city’s soul as the bouillabaisse’. And Douglas Murray thinks he knows what’s going wrong – the truth, he argues, is that law-breaking is allowed.'

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  9. Jonathan Miller in the Spectator:

    'The European Commission, deaf to the concerns of voters, has responded to the de facto collapse of the EU’s frontiers by demanding that countries such as Poland, which has largely closed its borders to refugees and is not troubled by the problem of migrant gangs, be fined €20,000 for each person refused.

    'France gets plenty of attention, but its street violence is hardly singular. Sweden, once a quintessential example of an open-minded society that welcomed immigrants, has become one of the most violent countries in Europe, as measured by gangland shootings. It’s a rare night in Stockholm that passes without some violent event. Police estimate that there are now more than 50 gangs, many in heavily immigrant communities. The Swedish newspapers read more like film scripts, with feuding gangs loyal to ‘the Kurdish Fox’ and ‘the Greek’ and violence connected to vendettas.

    'Police have identified 31,000 people in Sweden who have some connection to gangs. ‘We have never faced such ruthless criminality,’ said Anders Thornberg, national police chief, in a recent interview. Sweden’s laws go easy on the under-21s: a model, he says, that is an open invitation to gangland violence. ‘The model of organisation for the entire Swedish justice system is not rigged to face such extensive criminality.’

    'Take one court case this year: a teenage asylum seeker found work as a hitman, killed the wrong person, then went on the run. This being Sweden, his citizenship application was approved as he dodged the authorities. He was caught but sentenced to just four years in a prison – or something that passes for prison. As a teenager, he qualified for internet access, a single room, and security so lax that inmates can arrange external dental appointments. He used one to break free within a few weeks of his sentencing.

    'In the most recent waves of immigration, Sweden has let in more refugees and people claiming to be refugees, as a share of population, than any other European country. It is coping with the consequences. Last year Norway had four fatal shootings, compared with 63 in Sweden. In Botkyrka, south-west of Stockholm, a generation has been lost to gangs, says Paulina Neuding, a journalist who is writing a book on Sweden’s descent. Many of Botkyrka’s children, who are disproportionately from immigrant backgrounds, are easy pickings for gangs.

    'The French rioters ‘couldn’t care less about the death of Nahel. This is nihilism. Nabel is just their excuse’

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