Sunday, 30 March 2025

Good advice

 


Now is no time to think of what you do not have.
Think of what you can do with that there is.
Ernest Hemingway, The Old Man and the Sea

The Ukrainian forces are far closer to US high command than the Houthis are to Iran

I think, gentle reader, that you assumed the American forces are very closely involved in the Ukrainian war but this article from the NYT shows how closely. 

Fred Weir, veteran Canadian journalist in Moscow, shared it (to public) on Facebook today with these words. 
Oh great, this will really help to counter the Kremlin's mendacious claim that Russia is fighting a war in which Ukraine is just a proxy for the US and NATO efforts to crush Russia. Putin may have the Russian people totally bamboozled, thinking they're up against the united West, but fortunately we've got the NYT to investigate and reveal the Truth:

Lord Skidelsky explains the Ukrainian war very well

Please watch this short interview with one of our two or three best living historians. 

Key points:; Ukraine has not been defeated but done well; Russia expected to instal a subordinate government quickly; if Ukraine needs security guarantees so does Russia; if Russia is a threat to her neighbours why is she not a threat to her democratic neighbour Mongolia? (Because Mongolia is not going to join Nato?) 

We have a post-imperial reflex that uses the words 'we must' all the time - we must not allow the Chinese to mistreat the Uighurs for example - when we don't have the power to do anything about it! 

If we really think Russia is a threat to to her countries it is immoral to let the Ukrainian fight Russia without British troops taking part. 

Britain says it wants a just peace but if 'just' means a restoration of the status quo ante bellum this is impossible unless Russia is defeated. 

Beyond the West other nations are unconcerned at what they see as something akin to a civil war in Ukraine.

Europe has been an American protectorate but protectorates are not taxed properly. Now Trump sees European protectorates are not necessary since the Cold War. 

Since I read his amazingly good biography of Sir Oswald Mosley in my second year at university I've known Lord Skidelsky (as he then wasn't) is one of the best and most original minds we have. I try to find his utterances on any topic but for 3 years he has not been published by the media because of he is accused of being pro-Russian, which I suppose he is.

Here is the first article he recently got the papers to publish after three years.

Why are pro-Russian voices silenced throughout Europe west of Belarus? 

Why is it a crime in the UK to speak in favour of Hamas? 

It's unjust, authoritarian and means the electorates that are supposed to rule democratic countries are not fully informed. 

JD Vance was absolutely right in the speech he made in Munich but the Trump administration is trying hard to silence critics of Israel in US universities. 

Saturday, 29 March 2025

Jack Matlock: Kosovo gave Putin 'an almost perfect precedent' for Crimea

Jack Matlock was the penultimate US Ambassador to the USSR. In a very insightful and profound discussion published yesterday with Glenn Diesen, he compares the war against Serbia in 1999, in which Nato "killed over a thousand men", with the bloodless Russian invasion of Crimea in 2014. 

"That gave Putin a precedent, an almost perfect precedent, for the taking of Crimea." 

He says the 2014 revolution in Kiev 'was actually a coup d'état'. People said this in 2014 and I did not see it.

How splendid the US old school diplomats were before, as Mr. Matlock says, the neo-cons 'took over the foreign policy of both our political parties' to justify heavy defence spending.

I think he is right that it was the military industrial complex wanting money that was to blame.

He says that "when we tried to spread democracy by military force or economic compulsion we failed and ended up losing a lot of our democracy at home".

'O good old man, how well in thee appears
The constant service of the antique world.'

(As You Like It Act 2, Scene 3)

Friday, 28 March 2025

Dominic Cummings retweeted this

 



CBDC means "central bank digital currency", a digital currency issued by the European  Central Bank on behalf of the European Union.

Margaret Thatcher could have ended John Major's premiership in 1995 and possibly aborted New Labour

Sir Julian Seymour, who has died aged 80, ran Margaret Thatcher's private office from 1991 until he retired in 2001. From his obituary in the Daily Telegraph:

When John Major, exasperated at the machinations of the Eurosceptic Right, called a leadership contest in 1995, Lady Thatcher was tempted to back John Redwood. Seymour told her that for a former Tory leader to publicly back a challenger to a sitting leader would be a step too far. “I told her I always thought JR a bit odd, and an impossible bet for PM at any time,” he recalled.

He got no reaction, “other than that look when you know either that she privately agreed or was thinking about it, but was never, ever to be drawn into agreeing out loud. In summary, heart will have said Redwood, head will have said No.”
John Major later revealed that had he won two fewer votes in that leadership election (only MPs could vote in that more civilised era) he would have resigned. 

Had Lady Thatcher backed him he would have won at least two fewer votes and history might have been different. 

Who would have been his successor? John Redwood, Michael Portillo, Kenneth Clark, Michael Heseltine?

Would Great Britain have been spared Tony Blair?

Thursday, 27 March 2025

Acknowledgments Lakshmi Kapoor for the first three

"There probably is a God. Many things are easier to explain if there is than if there isn't."

John von Neumann, autodidact who pioneered the modern computer, operator theory, game theory, learned calculus and differential equations at age 6.


The neo-cons, who want the US to dominate every part of the world, have still not gone away.

From June 20, 2014, Stephen M. Walt, writing in Foreign Policy

"What, if anything, might reduce the neoconservative influence to its proper dimension (that is to say, almost nil)? I wish I knew, for if the past ten years haven’t discredited them, it’s not obvious what would. No doubt leaders in Moscow and Beijing derive great comfort from that fact: For what better way to ensure that the United States continues to lurch from crisis to crisis, and from quagmire to quagmire? Until our society gets better at listening to those who are consistently right instead of those who are reliably wrong, we will repeat the same mistakes and achieve the same dismal results. Not that the neoconservatives will care." 

More US war crimes

 'Rules of engagement that permit destroying an entire civilian apartment building to kill one alleged terrorist is part of Joe Biden’s legacy. It’s still a war crime though, and Waltz’s text is a confession.' Matt Duss, who was Bernie Sanders' foreign policy adviser.




'Obama and John Brennan drone-bombed wedding parties repeatedly, and even groups of people standing around, if they suspected that one "legitimate target" was in the vicinity. It's of course a war crime, and if anyone applied this logic to the US, they'd be branded "terrorists."' Glenn Greenwald


Tuesday, 25 March 2025

The US attack on the Houthis is a much bigger scandal than the group chat

The best way to stop the Houthis attacking shipping is to give them what they want, which is a ceasefire in the Gaza Strip. 

Max Blumenthal calls the Houthis "the one force mounting one of the only principled humanitarian interventions in my lifetime". 

You know not to trust a news source when it refers to the Houthis as 'Iranian proxies'. They obviously are not. They are as Blumenthal says 'fiercely independent'.

I wonder if there are any Iranian proxies as opposed to Iranian allies. 

The mainstream media wants us to believe Russia, Iran and China are the threats to the West. 

In fact the West is the main threat to the West.

It seems from the discussions in a group on Signal, in which they added by mistake the editor of the Atlantic (I am not making this up), a man that hates Trump, that the purpose of the very high level committee that decided to attack Yemen was to protect shipping, not just Israeli shipping. 

They obviously do not read John Helmer's blog and do not know it was only Israeli shipping that the Houthis targeteduntil the US and UK intervened against them when they not unreasonably targeted American and British ships too.


27 March footnote. Houthis are still firing missiles after 12 straight days of US airstrikes.

Monday, 24 March 2025

The Munich Agreement was a fatal mistake by Hitler

Years ago it seemed no-one was talking common sense. 

That was because I took my news from the mainstream media. 

Now thanks to the internet you can follow Jeffrey Sachs to understand what is happening and Christopher Caldwell and John Mearsheimer. My work here is almost done.

No incident ever resembles Munich 1938. In this short clip Professor Sachs points out that America has used analogies with Munich for 50 years for a series of things and, even if they were apt, which they never were, Hitler thought the Munich agreement had been a trap into which he fell. 

By disregarding his promise of no more territorial demands in Europe, when he invaded Czechia in March 1939, he exposed his hand and brought down disaster on his head.

Churchill said 'History will be kind to me because I intend to write it'. So he did and so it has been, but his view of the period between 1933 to 1939, as you would expect of the view of any politician talking about his record, is very partial and very misleading. 

It is a myth (Chamberlain as Vortigern to Churchill's King Arthur) which I learnt at 8 and it is a myth that everyone still believes. 

It's the foundational myth of the American empire, though it was not America but only Britain and France (Chamberlain  and Deladier) who, in historian Maurice Cowling's words, were 'crazy enough to go to war with Germany without having to'. 

The history of the Western world since 1945 is a meditation on the powerful legend of Munich and Hitler

Had Churchill died in 1941 he'd have died an eccentric failure. Had Franklin Roosevelt left office in 1939 after two terms as President of the United States he'd have been a failure too. The New Deal was a failure. Instead they have been transmuted.



It is worth playing fair with Russians or not playing at all (Bismarck)

Don't expect that once you take advantage of Russia's weakness, you will receive dividends forever. The Russians always came for their money. And when they come - do not rely on the Jesuit treaties you signed and which you hope will get you acquitted. They are not worth the paper they are written on. Therefore, it is worth playing fair with Russians or not playing at all. Otto von Bismarck 



Denmark, which controls Greenland, is not doing its job, it’s not being a good ally. If that means that we need to take more territorial interests in Greenland, that is what President Trump is going to do. Because he doesn't care about what the European scream at us. J.D. Vance two hours ago. I loved every word of his speech at Munich and his more recent thoughts on Europe committing suicide, but this is utterly appalling. This is the veil off and the America that has ruthlessly taken over the world seen clearly.

Quotations



Samuel Johnson did not worry about problems. He did not use the word "problem", for at that time that word was used specifically for mathematics - not about the concerns of his era.

Jorge Luis Borges

The secret of politics? Make a good treaty with Russia.

Otto von Bismarck


The first rule of politics is : never invade Afghanistan.


Harold Macmillan

Saturday, 22 March 2025

Water

“You cannot see your reflection in boiling water. Similarly, you cannot see the truth in a state of anger. When the waters calm, clarity comes.” 
Is this from a film I never heard of called Kung Fu Panda?

"Calm the muddy water, 
It becomes clear.
Tao Ti Ching

Friday, 21 March 2025

In Haaretz, the Israeli centre left newspaper, today



More from the article:

Donald Trump's attack on the Houthis

American journalist Dan Perry is perversely mistaken today.

Trump 2.0’s approach to domestic reform, trade and alliances has been reckless. Trump's tariffs disrupted global markets; his handling of Ukraine and Russia emboldened adversaries; and his treatment of allies left many questioning America’s commitment to global leadership. But in the Middle East he's made some right moves, understanding what Biden seemed to miss: Peace through strength is sometimes the only way. Such is the long-overdue assault on the criminal hashtagHouthis.

The Houthis are no more criminals than other actors in the drama, 
but then grave crimes are being committed by the other parties, including or especially the US. 

Thursday, 20 March 2025

Many countries have deep states but not Israel, it seems

The EU is set to exclude the US, UK, and Turkish arms companies from its €150 billion defence fund if their respective countries don't sign agreements with Brussels. That is of course. 

Why did the UK not threaten to leave Nato as a bargaining chip during Brexit negotiations?

Because the UK is ruled by what Dominic Cummings calls the Blob and Messrs Trump and Vance consider is the transatlantic deep state (think William Hague).

Many countries have deep states. Romania (cancelled election) and the UK (Brexit struggle) are two obvious examples.

Some do not, such as Israel. Netanyahu is able to swat away, so far, the opposition of the courts, the generals and the secular Ashkenazi left-of-centre establishment that ruled the country after 1948 until Begin and the Likud (successors to the Irgun) took power.

Tuesday, 18 March 2025

Quotations

"The fundamental weakness of Western civilisation is empathy." Elon Musk on The Joe Rogan Experience two weeks ago
 
"While the Army has 108,000 personnel, since 2018 more than 155,000 illegal migrants – most of them young men from Islamic nations like Afghanistan, Syria, and Iran — have entered Britain on some 4,300 boats." Matt Goodwin on Saturday

 


 

Monday, 17 March 2025

With countries and marriages, some unions work, others don't

The anti-system, pro-EU party USR (Save Romania Union) is the anti-system party that young Romanians with degrees and the Western European media like. 

But to many Romanians the EU and the Nato seem the system from which Romania needs saving, so there is another sort of anti-system party, the so called sovereignists. 

Election Bureau: Opposition to Romania’s membership of the EU and NATO makes a candidate unfit to stand in the presidential election

After rejecting the candidacy of Calin Georgescu, who came first in the cancelled presidential election in November and stands at 40% in the polls, on Saturday Romania’s Central Election Bureau went on to reject the candidacy of a another right-wing "sovereignist" politician, Diana Sosoaca. The decision was upheld by the Constitutional Court (CCR).

According to the Associated Press:

The CCR argued that her public discourse, including opposition to Romania’s European Union and NATO memberships, made her unfit to uphold the constitutional obligations of the presidency.

Saturday, 15 March 2025

Quotations

'If you crush a cockroach, you're a hero. If you crush a beautiful butterfly, you're a villain. Morals have aesthetic criteria.'

Nietzsche


'I admit that I think that it is better to be beautiful than to be good. But on the other hand, no one is more ready than I am to acknowledge that it is better to be good than to be ugly.'

Said recently

Russia is already menacing our skies, our water, our streets.

Sir Keir Starmer yesterday

Try seeing Ukraine as a second attempt by the people who brought you Iraq. Instead of ‘Fascist Saddam has WMD!!!’ you have ‘Nazi Putin’s going to invade Poland then march to Paris!!!’ 

Peter Hitchens 

I wrote this exactly one year ago to the day but did not post it - now Trump is making war on Lennonism at home and abroad


"The world has now been diminished completely. There is no variety anywhere. You go off to the Congo and in the forest will find an advertisement for Coca Cola."  

The explorer and writer Sir Wilfred Thesiger said this in an interview he gave in his nursing home in 2001, a couple of years before he died. 

This was why I always wanted to be in Eastern Europe before the end of Communism. I wanted another world. I sought a kind of ecstasy, ex stasis, standing outside myself. 

The Emperor Donald

I am not accusing Donald Trump of trying to make money out of the presidency (that's very much more the Clintons and Bidens). I am implying that he's a barbarian, when I say he reminds me of A.E. Housman's one great poem, Epitaph on an Army of Mercenaries.

These, in the days when heaven was falling,
The hour when earth's foundations fled,
Followed their mercenary calling
And took their wages and are dead.

Friday, 14 March 2025

Oscar Wilde, child abuser

Wilde was a wonderful playwright and aphorist, but he should not be admired for cheating on his wife with rent boys (male prostitutes).  

He was probably also a paedophile, as Lord Robathan (as he now is) pointed out in the House of Commons in 1999:

'We should be careful about romanticising Oscar Wilde, as the placing of a statue of him in the Strand last year did. Clearly, he was persecuted by the father of his male friend, Lord Alfred Douglas, the Earl of Rosebery [he meant Marquess of Queensbury, of course]. He wrote some fine plays and was quite a good poet. However, those who are concerned about paedophilia and sex tourism should know that Oscar Wilde was a paedophile and a sex tourist--[Interruption.] Labour Members shake their heads. Let them read the biography--[Hon. Members: "We have."] I can quote from memory that Alfred and Oscar competed for Neapolitan boys in 1897. What is that if not paedophilia and sex tourism? Let us hear no more nonsense about Oscar Wilde being a martyr to homosexual equality.'

I recommend E.F. Knight's Albania: A Narrative of Recent Travel (1880)

The book is here and for free.
One day last autumn I was sitting in my Temple chambers, wondering what I should do with myself in the Long Vacation, when I was aroused from my reverie by the entrance of my clerk...
And so begins for E. F. Knight the journey that led him to write 'Albania: A Narrative of Recent Travel', which he published in 1880. A friend showed me a first edition of the book a couple of years ago. I loved the flavour of Oxford, Cambridge, public school and England at the zenith of her imperial self-confidence. In

Thursday, 13 March 2025

Why do European governments want the war in Ukraine to continue? Genuine question.

Old fashioned left-wingers are more insightful than "conservatives" when it comes to foreign policy.

I miss the anti-war left (the formerly pacifist German Greens are now the most warlike party in Germany, etc), yet its heart is still beating. 

Here is left-wing feminist Almut Rochowanski, in Responsible Statecraft today, on the mood in the chanceries of Europe 

"A closer look at Europe also shows that a new bellicism has swept up the continent’s elites and gone into cataclysmic overdrive in recent weeks. Nowhere has this new martiality been more pronounced than in Germany, where political leaders and a new crop of “military experts” egg each other on.

"The latter have been abysmally wrong in their predictions of Ukraine’s certain victory and Russia’s imminent collapse again and again, but nevertheless dominate the country’s much-watched primetime debate shows. Last week, Germans were told that the coming summer will be the last one we will be at peace, because Russia will, under cover of war games in Belarus, invade NATO territory."

China's Belt and Road initiative does huge good

At last someone says the obvious: Jeffrey Sachs in this short clip says China's Belt & Road initiative does huge good.

I have been waiting for one person in the newspapers to say this, even in a subordinate clause of a sentence, for years without success. 

Tuesday, 11 March 2025

“If Europe cannot defeat Russia, how can we defeat China?”

“The world is governed by very different personages from what is imagined by those who are not behind the scenes.” Benjamin Disraeli, Coningsby

“If Europe cannot defeat Russia, how can we defeat China?”  Kaja Kallas, the first female prime minister of Estonia until 2024 when she took charge of the European Union's Foreign Affairs and Security Policy.

I really wish the Ukraine War enthusiasts would pick between "Russia will easily march through Europe if American taxpayers don't finance the war forever" and "ACKSHUALLY Russia is losing" instead of flipping back and forth every 
day. Mollie@MZHemingway 

“Putin will invade Europe” is the new “Iraq has weapons of mass destruction”. 
Thomas Fazi

"If we have learned anything from the NATO experience...it is the rediscovery of an old truth: Dependency corrupts and absolute dependency corrupts absolutely. To the degree that Europe has been dependent upon the United States, the European will has been corrupted and European political vitality has diminished. A reconstructed NATO could reverse that process. But it would have to be an all-European NATO, with the United States an ally but not a member." Irving Kristol, "What's Wrong with NATO?", in the New York Times of Sept. 25, 1983.


Niall Ferguson, December 9 2018:



Sunday, 9 March 2025

Calin Georgescu has the support of over 40% of the voters but is not allowed to stand in rerun of the presidential election

The Electoral Office decided last night that Calin Georgescu, who won the first round of the cancelled Presidential election in November, will not be allowed to stand in the postponed election. It's a brave new world. Frau von der Leyen and the panjandrums of the European Union will be pleased, so will the Soros people in Bucharest, but in Washington DC there will be another view.

Would there be an uprising like in December 1989? No, though I was told there would be. I thought of walking over to see but could not be bothered.

Some demonstrators appeared as a result of messages on social media, seemingly for the sake of letting pictures be sent around the world in seconds on X.

Almost everyone I know will be relieved except the waiters, porters, taxi drivers and shop assistants, the forty percent of the electorate who would vote for Georgescu and many who wouldn't. 

I think absolutely any citizen should be allowed to stand in an election, even if in prison. Eugene Debs the Socialist contested a US presidential election from behind bars in 1920.


A poll carried out by Verified for the ruling coalition’s presidential candidate Crin Antonescu showed that, if the 2025 presidential elections were to take place next Sunday, 40% would vote for Călin Georgescu, a big increase on the 23% he won in the cancelled election in November. He is followed by Crin Antonescu on 18.5% and the Mayor of Bucharest Nicușor Dan (anti-system independent) on 12%, Libertatea.ro reported.


Saint Mina's church, Strada Coposu - founded in the early 18th century but rebuilt in the mid 19th

 



Give peace a chance

In three years of throwing everything they have at Ukraine, the Russians have taken 13% of a country on its own border (in addition to Crimea and Donetsk taken in 2014). 

Yet absurdly Macron and the Western European leaders think Putin will be at Paris if he is not stopped now.

To eject Russia from its entrenched positions would require a ground assault that might kill several hundred thousand more Ukrainians. 

A negotiated settlement involving a combination of massive investment in Ukraine and loosening of embargos on Russia is the obvious best option. The only option in fact.

Donald Trump has common sense on this issue and common sense is rarer than genius, as Emerson said. 

Donald Trump might be a genius too but you, gentle reader, have your opinion about that. Emerson would certainly have loathed him.

I have a good track record

The CIA/MI6 run mainstream media backed the Islamists and justify their slaughter yesterday of 'pro-Assad forces'. I am glad I regretted the fall of Assad.

I wish there was a reasonable trustworthy source of information abut the news but there is not.

I have a good track record.

I saw the Cold War was unnecessary. I opposed the invasion of Iraq and at first of Afghanistan, though then I went along with it.

I thought on September 11 2001 that something like that was inevitable.

I wanted Ukraine to resist Russia in 2022 when invaded. I wanted negotiations to bring peace in Ukraine in the spring of 2022.

I should have followed Ukraine before the invasion. I'd have seen how the Americans were playing with fire. The Ukrainians got burnt.

It took me years though to understand that it is America that has been the big threat to world peace, not Russia, China or Iran.

I was probably wrong not to like Mrs Thatcher or Ronald Reagan. They were lesser evils than the progressives and to some extent their concern for freedom was genuine. They were the last conservatives to know that equality is a bad thing if you are on the right.

Mrs Thatcher did almost nothing that was conservative but she did raise British morale.

Backing the Democrats before Bill Clinton was a mistake but the mainstream Republican party was and is repulsive.

My big mistakes were cheering on the colour revolutions and not becoming Euroseptic and Natosceptic earlier. I should have backed Patrick Buchanan. I did back Ron Paul.

I should have followed the Arab Israel story and had Netanyahu's number but it bored me to pieces until 7 October 2023.

Wednesday, 5 March 2025

Elon Musk is right about Ukraine

Elon Musk@elonmusk:


What I said over 2 years ago was that Ukraine should seek peace or suffer severe loss of life for no gains.

The latter was Zelensky’s choice.

Now, he wants to do that again.

This is cruel and inhumane.

Elon Musk@elonmusk Oct 3, 2022
Ukraine-Russia Peace:

- Redo elections of annexed regions under UN supervision. Russia leaves if that is will of the people.

- Crimea formally part of Russia, as it has been since 1783 (until Khrushchev’s mistake).

- Water supply to Crimea assured.

- Ukraine remains neutral.

Sunday, 2 March 2025

Jeffrey Sachs, Fred Weir and Anatole Lieven explain the Ukrainian war

Of course Europe and Great Britain must make a settlement along with the USA with Russia, rather than rearming. How can the chanceries of Europe be so obtuse? 

You probably know some of what Jeffrey Sachs said in his brief speech at the European Parliament by now, if you don't form your views from the reporting in the traditional media, which are propaganda vehicles for CIA and M16. 

Professor Sachs is invaluable on most subjects and very succinct. One of the best minds in the world. He is incapable of being dull.

Here is Fred Weir who is a veteran Canadian correspondent in Moscow.

'We know that Donald Trump perfected his schoolyard bully persona, shouting "you're fired!" over and over during 14 seasons of an awful reality TV show that he co-created. It's quite apt that the Times of London headline this morning reads: "Trump fired Zelensky like he was a loser on The Apprentice." 
So it's unsurprising that he brings the same public grandstanding, hectoring style to diplomacy. I suppose he thinks it will work. But Volodymyr Zelensky is the elected leader of Ukraine, and publicly humiliating him is going to alienate the people he represents. I'm a Canadian, and I'm pissed-off, on principle, over the way he belittles our prime minister and ruminates about annexing Canada. Even in Moscow, where wrecking the US-Ukraine relationship should have a popular following, I don't think anyone is much impressed by that spectacle.
It's bad, bad, very bad diplomacy
'But someone has to set the histrionics aside and calmly analyze the underlying dynamics and suggest what, if anything, can be salvaged for the sake of the peace process. So, here's a good stab at that by Anatol Lieven and George Beebe, of the Quincy Institute for Responsible Statecraft.'

I asked Mr Weir did Zelensky up the ante in Donetsk in November 2021 provoking a reaction, as some people tell me?

He gave me permission to quote his reply.

I have no special knowledge about all that. I know what the Russians say, and can make some general observations from having been talking with them, and watching events, for years. First, Zelensky was elected on a clear peace platform. I was in Ukraine to cover the election -- I went to Mariupol to take the temperature -- and there is no doubt that people voted for Zelensky on the belief that he would implement Minsk II and negotiate peace with Russia. The Russians began to give up on him, and any hope for Minsk implementation, in the months after Putin and Zelensky met in Paris in December 2019. Second, the refusal of the West to negotiate a new security architecture for Europe, which would have kept Ukraine neutral, among other things, was probably the final straw for Putin. I'm not advocating for him -- I would have thought he had lots of options short of war -- but at some point in late 2021 he and a small circle of advisers clearly made the decision to invade, in the belief that they could effect a quick regime change and solve all their Ukraine problems at one fell swoop. That failed, in an epic way, and Moscow negotiated that abortive peace deal with Ukraine. He keeps referring to it. So, the main terms would have been Ukrainian neutrality, substantial demilitarization, and rights for Russian speakers. I'm guessing those will be the same bottom lines now, plus territory.

Hope at last

Trump's Ukrainian policy is very hopeful. America isn't interested in Nato. Is this a good moment for the United Kingdom to lose interest in Nato and European entanglements? To trade with everyone but not to get involved in wars in faraway countries between people of whom we know nothing?

What Germany and France and the European Union should do is join America and Ukraine in making a durable permanent settlement with Russia. Russian interests and those of the EU and Nato and Ukraine can be teconciled. Also please let us not have a cold war. No cold wars with Russia, China, Iran, Venezuela or Afghanistan please.

Saturday, 1 March 2025

Theatre of the absurd: was Zelensky ambushed by Trump and Vance?

Was Zelensky ambushed by Trump and Vance or was Vance on what lawyers call a frolic of his own? 

I am broadly in favour of Trump's Ukrainian and even Nato policy but the press conference, though huge fun, was disgraceful. It made Trump look small not big. 

And how does this strengthen America's position negotiating with Russia?

Zelensky is annoying certainly but should have been treated respectfully as a head of state. 

World leaders in future should refuse to take part in press conferences with Trump. 

The London crowd will not cheer Trump's second State Visit to London but nor would they have done anyway nor will the King enjoy it.

But his mother hosted Ceaușescu.

Still is politeness better than telling the truth?

Trump intends to bring peace and Zelensky wants the war to continue. The Observer today explains that Zelensky is to blame for the disastrous press conference. He should not have visited Washington.

<The officials believed that had all been communicated to Ukraine, as was the advice that senators gave Zelenskyy on Friday morning to praise Trump and not litigate the issue of wanting stronger security guarantees to his face.

To Trump’s aides, Zelenskyy did not heed that advice when he expressed skepticism at JD Vance’s view of making peace with Russia and, in their view, lectured the US vice-president on the history of Russia’s aggression towards Ukraine that started in 2014 with the annexation of Crimea.

That set off a downward spiral in the Oval Office as Vance took issue with being questioned about his description of diplomacy, and clapped back at Zelenskyy: “I’m talking about the kind of diplomacy that’s going to end the destruction of your country.”>

Vance though aggressive was right, of course.

And why shouldn't the public see disagreements between heads of state over war and peace? Many of the pubic, it seems, prefer the lies to honesty. Not that Zelensky was being ingenuous in talking about Putin breaking agreements.