Saturday 21 March 2020

Boris did not take Chief Medical Officer's advice about lockdown

Modelling by researchers at the Universities of Exeter, Bristol and Warwick has showed that, without any measures to limit it, the Coronavirus epidemic would have peaked in late June or early July. It is reassuring to know this but social distancing will delay the peak for a very long time, unless the epidemic is suppressed by the emergency measures or defeated by drugs that are discovered in the months to come.

Researchers at the London School of Hygiene and Tropical Medicine (LSHTM) estimate that up to 23 million people in the UK may have the virus without symptoms. The Daily Telegraph said the scientists feared that the number might be that hig but they should rejoice if it is so, because people who have had the virus but don't know it will not get it again, at least for some time. This is the herd immunity that the British Chief Medical Officer spoke about at the first Corona virus press conference, standing beside Boris, although the immunity is not necessarily permanent and anyway viruses mutate quickly

Talking of that first press conference, I was told today by a very good source that before that first conference the Chief Medical Officer had advised the Government to adopt the drastic measures that Boris. 

Boris overruled him because, understandably, of the terrible damage they would do to the British economy. That, gentle reader, IS  a scoop. You read it here first.

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