Friday 27 March 2020

How infectious is the Coronavirus?

Thousands of foreigners were evacuated from Wuhan city in late January and February and quarantined for 14 days. Back home in their various countries, 0.6% tested positive, so the virus is not very infectious and yet it is, because it gallops fast across the globe. How is this paradox possible?

The British Chief Officer told us a while back that mass gatherings are not dangerous - the disease is spread between people who live or work together. Now we mustn't leave the house unless really necessary - this change of policy in the UK is based on a report from Imperial College, London which is contradicted by another one from Oxford. Neither report is very convincing


  1. Weekly U.S. Influenza Surveillance Report
    Key Updates for Week 12, ending March 21, 2020

    CDC estimates that so far this season there have been at least 39 million flu illnesses, 400,000 hospitalizations and 24,000 deaths from flu.

    1. Antiviral medications are an important adjunct to flu vaccine in the control of influenza. Almost all (>99%) of the influenza viruses tested this season are susceptible to the four FDA-approved influenza antiviral medications recommended for use in the U.S. this season.

  2. New York is home to nearly half of the coronavirus cases in the United States, and a majority of deaths.

    Globally, the vast majority of cases occur in places that are both densely populated and connected to the global economy. Half of all COVID-19 cases in Spain, for example, have occurred in Madrid, while the Lombardy region in Italy, which includes the city of Milan, accounts for roughly half of all cases in the country and over 60% of the deaths.

  3. ABC/WP, FOX: Trump Job Approval 49%, 48% | Coronavirus Approval 52%, 51%