It's very early to say but so far it looks like America will lose this war

General G.D. Bakshi is useful because he is neutral between Iran, the Gulf states, Israel and America. 

He says the Iranians were fooled by the negotiations, lost 48 of their "top brass" but there won't be regime change unless there are 500,000 American troops on the ground. 

He and former CIA Officer John Kiriakou have heard that America asked Spain to ask Iran for a ceasefire on Sunday and Iran gave a dusty response. 

It sounds as if things are going terribly for America if they want a ceasefire. 

If oil rises to $130 a barrel it means a recession in the Western world, bad news for almost of  my readers, but will enrich Iran and Russia.

Again I quote this example of very black humour. "Historically, when Americans suddenly care about women’s rights in a Middle Eastern country, those women are about to be bombed" (Annette Mullaney). 

149 schoolgirls were murdered by missiles possibly fired from the SS Abraham Lincoln. The Western media say nothing, like they ignore Gaza. The crimes of Russia and Iran are covered extensively.

Emmanuel Macron tonight said although Iran “bears primary responsibility” for the war, the attacks were “outside the bounds of international law”. America is entirely to blame but two cheers for France.

I missed this from Iranian-Swedish conservative journalist Trita Parsi on Sunday. "The announcement of Khamenei's death opened a window for people to pour onto the streets and seek to overthrow the regime. Though expressions of joy were widespread, no real mobilization was seen. That window is now closing, as the theocratic system closes ranks and establishes new formal leadership."

Trita Parsi said yesterday that Iran’s strategy had shifted.

“They were targeting Israel, but the real target now is the United States,” he said, speaking to the Daily Beast.

“Their calculation, their metric of success, is not that they necessarily can win the war. They just need to get as close as possible to destroy Trump’s presidency before they lose the war.”