Theresa May now thinks a bad deal is better than no deal

She always did, which is why no money was spent on preparing for no deal till far too late in the day. This told the EU that for her no deal was not an option. When preparations for no deal did start they were, in part, intended to scare the public and diminish support for no deal. 

You cannot win a negotiation unless you are prepared to walk away.

What an awful day this has been and what an appalling performance by the worst British Prime Minister since Lord North. 

That's a terrible cliche that has been used to describe a lot of Prime Ministers, including Sir Anthony Eden, Harold Wilson, David Cameron and should certainly have been used to describe Tony Blair. This time it is the sorry truth. This woman is even worse than Mr. Blair. Much worse than Lord North, for that matter.

This terrible deal, which means Britain has to accept the rules of the EU without any say in making them, is not the only possible deal apart from no deal or giving up on Brexit altogether. 

From David Fromkin's 'A Peace to End All Peace: The Fall of the Ottoman Empire and the Creation of the Modern Middle East' (1989)

It's a wonderful book that I recommend highly and, like John Buchan's Greenmantle, it's been very topical since September 2001.

“It has been estimated that the total of military and civilian casualties in all of Europe’s domestic and international conflicts in the 100 years between 1815 and 1915 was no greater than a single day’s combat losses in any of the great battles of 1916.”


"As soon as they began to plan their annexation of the Middle East, Allied leaders recognized that Islam’s hold on the region was the main feature of the political landscape with which they would have to contend. Lord Kitchener, it

Moment of decision at last: Brexit deal agreed by officials will be put to the British cabinet today

Harriet Sergeant‏ @HarrietSergeant More

An old friend of Michel Barnier says Europe’s chief negotiator can’t believe his luck. He’s kept 27 EU countries united while the U.K. falls apart.

Andrew Lilico‏ @andrew_lilico More

Theresa May is asking her Cabinet to make what might be the most fateful decision in UK history on the basis of a 500 page document they only get a couple of hours to read & that they have no chance to obtain independent analysis, scrutiny & commentary upon. They should say no.

Douglas Carswell‏Verified account @DouglasCarswell More

Imagine being an EU official tonight. You must barely be able to believe your luck in finding a U.K. administration willing to sign up to being an indefinite rule taker, agree to let you run their trade policy, and give you £47 billion for the privilege

Quotations

"Ordinary conservatives – and many people fall into this category – are constantly told that their ideas and sentiments are reactionary, prejudiced, sexist or racist. Just by being the thing they are they offend against the new norms of inclusiveness and non-discrimination."

Sir Roger Scruton

“While it may have been chauvinist of British officials in the 1920s and 1930s to say that Arab countries were not ready for self-government—which is to say, liberal democratic constitutional regimes with rule of law—evidence as of our own late date does not seem to prove them wrong. The Economist (April 3, 2004, page 47) is on record as saying that “The Arab League’s 22 states remain the most uniformly oligarchic slice of the world. Not a single Arab leader has ever been peacefully ousted at the ballot box.”

The restaurants argument

Frank Luntz added

Steve KingVerified account @SteveKingIA

Diversity is not our strength. Hungarian Prime Minister Victor Orban, “Mixing cultures will not lead to a higher quality of life but a lower one.” https://pgj.cc/PT7SoT 

9:00 PM - 8 Dec 2017

Frank Luntz‏Verified account @FrankLuntz 8 Dec 2017

Anyone who thinks diversity will lead to a “lower quality of life” has clearly never been to an ethnic food festival.

Brexit and Trump

Fraser Nelson‏Verified account @FraserNelson

Funny hearing Brexit blamed by companies who say they can’t find staff. What they mean is can’t find staff at the old, low salary levels. Adjusting to our new economic circumstances means paying people more. Painful, perhaps, but long overdue.

Wall St. Journal editorial today:

'If the American and European establishments had understood the importance of nationalism to the coherence of their own societies as well as the architecture of world order, Mr. Trump might still be producing television shows..'

Brexit tweet

Fraser Nelson‏Verified account @FraserNelson

Funny hearing Brexit blamed by companies who say they can’t find staff. What they mean is can’t find staff at the old, low salary levels. Adjusting to our new economic circumstances means paying people more. Painful, perhaps, but long overdue.

Sorin Onisor: Milea 23 (in the Danube Delta) in early November

Camille Paglia: It’s Time for a New Map of the Gender World

This interview by Claire Lehmann of Camille Paglia is worth reading. Miss Lehmann is a liberal but a centrist, humane and reasonable one. Professor Paglia is on the left, but an older, unpuritanical form of being on the left. 

Professor Paglia says, marvellously, that she found 

'the blanket credulity given to women accusers during the recent U.S. Senate confirmation hearings for Brett Kavanaugh positively unnerving: it was the first time since college that I truly understood the sexist design of Aeschylus’s Oresteia, whose mob of vengeful Furies is superseded by formal courts of law, where evidence is weighed.'

She also talks very interestingly about the non-discrimination pseudo-religion and has the same views that I have reached.

Do you believe that politics and in particular social justice (i.e., anti-racism and feminism) are becoming cults or pseudo-religions? Is politics filling the void left by the receding influence of organized religion?

Paglia: This has certainly been my view for many years now. I said in the introduction to my art book, Glittering Images (2012), that secular humanism has failed. As an atheist, I have argued that if religion is erased, something must be put in its place.
Belief systems are intrinsic to human intelligence and survival. They “frame” the flux of primary experience, which would otherwise flood the mind.

100 years after the war to end all war and the peace to end all peace

"Life can only be understood backwards; but it must be lived forwards." Kierkegaard

I feel guilty about not making the long journey to the British (Commonwealth) war graves at Tâncăbești to mark one hundred years since the end of the Great War. Instead I write this.

The First World War almost destroyed Western civilization, which has never fully recovered from that war. You only have to walk around the cities of the former Austria Hungary, their historic centres exuding 19th century serene confidence, scattered now among numerous impoverished countries, think how the Nazis and Communists ruled over the former Hapsburg and Czarist empires or look at the modern Middle East to see the harm that the 1914-1918 war did. 

To say nothing of the huge left-wing, collectivist and nihilistic shift it created in culture and thinking, connected to the Bolshevik revolution.  

With the benefit of hindsight it would clearly have been better, as Bertrand Russell said, had Germany and the Central Powers won (as they might easily have done, despite being much smaller and poorer than the Allies). Why? Not because they were not to blame for starting the war - they were completely to blame. Not because they were benign - they invaded countries without any justification and committed numerous war crimes. Simply because, in this way, the world would almost certainly have escaped Lenin, Hitler, Communism and Nazism.

But this sort of thinking is not very useful. Events that happened long ago were once things in the future and therefore unknowable.

Quotations

If there is a class war—and there is—it is important that it should be handled with subtlety and skill. ... it is not freedom that Conservatives want; what they want is the sort of freedom that will maintain existing inequalities or restore lost ones.
Maurice Cowling, "The Present Position," "Conservative Essays" (1978)

Today’s university students have little time for religion and no time at all for exclusive groups. They are particularly insistent that distinctions associated with their inherited culture — between sexes, classes and races, between genders and orientations, between religions and lifestyles — should be rejected, in the interests of an all-comprehending equality that leaves each person to be who she or he really is. “Non-discrimination” is the orthodoxy of our day. Yet this seeming open-mindedness is just as determined to silence

The American soft and hard left have been dangerous for 100 years

This article by Peter Beinart in The Atlantic is very interesting. 

This is the third time in a hundred years that left-wingers have sought to capture the Democrats and the U.S.A. The two previous times involved threats of disorder and transformed America, pushing Franklin D. Roosevelt, John F.Kennedy and Lyndon B. Johnson a long way to the left. Backlashes then followed.

'American exceptionalism' is a Marxist phrase, referring to the fact that the USA has never had a large socialist party, but it is a mistake to overlook how influential both the soft socialist left (think Bernie Saunders) and the hard left (Marxists and Marxist-Leninists) in America have been.  In fact, Communists and the hard left have had a large amount of influence on American politics from 1933 to the start of the Cold War and from the 1960s until the present day. Had FDR died in 1944 and been succeeded by Vice-President Henry Wallace their influence would have been much greater. 

American history tends nowadays to be written by leftists and liberals, which is part of the reason why the anti-Communist reaction in the 1950s is vilified. In fact the Communists were a big internal danger and the far left, in academia especially, still are.

Today

Asia Bibi, a Pakistani Christian, was recently acquitted of blasphemy, a capital offence, after spending eight years in a Pakistani gaol. Wilson Chowdhry, chairman of the British Pakistani Christian Association, told Huffington Post, a left-wing site:

“I’ve been lead to believe that the UK government had concerns that her moving to the UK would cause security concerns and unrest among certain sections of the community and would also be a security threat to British embassies abroad which might be targeted by Islamist terrorists. Asia and her family have now decided to take up one of the offers for asylum from a western country.”

BenjaminBarryJones‏ @BenBarryJones More

Hard to care about the technical details of Brexit or the economics of the next 5 years. The Asia Bibi case says far more about what our long-term future is going to be like.

Juliet Samuel lists Mrs May's many and grave Brexit mistakes in 1 minute.

The Lancet: 91 out of 195 countries now have fertility rates below replacement level

The authoritative British medical journal The Lancet reported yesterday that 91 out of 195 countries have fertility rates below replacement level.

The reasons are less infant mortality and access to contraception.

In the West a subsidiary reason is the idea that having overpopulation is bad for the planet. This idea was current in the 1960s and 1970s, never wholly went away and has now been revived linked to worries about climate change. 

More generally, a falling birth rate may indicate a lack of a civilisation's confidence in itself and its future.

Very important are the 104 countries which have fertility rate at or above the replacement rate, including Niger where the average woman has 7 children. By 2070 an additional 2.4 billion people are projected by the U.N.: 1.3 billion in Africa, 0.9 billion in Asia and 0.2 billion in the rest of the world. Africa's population was forecast in 2013 to double by 2050.

Subsidies are corrupting

A Financial Times article explains how the Italian mafia make huge money out of EU agricultural subsidies.

The sacred freedom to burn in effigy whomever you choose, in your own back garden

People in Great Britain burn guys on Guy Fawkes Night, 5th November. It's an old, anti-Catholic tradition.  By its very nature the tradition is politically incorrect.

More than 80 people died in a fire in a public housing tower in London, called the Grenfell Tower, a while ago.

A bunch of people in a back garden somewhere on November 5th burnt a cardboard effigy of the Grenfell Tower, complete with paper figures at the windows, and recorded it. 

The Metropolitan Police then investigated the matter and arrested the people involved, before releasing them. 

Burning the effigy was intended as an exercise in bad taste, a sick joke of the sort that were popular in the 1980s. Dreadful, no doubt. But the action of the police is a much sicker joke.

Thank God journalists, and I presume the public, decided that the police went too far. I suppose the police did too. The men concerned were arrested under the Public Order Act 1986, a very authoritarian and un-English law, conceived by the appalling Law Commission and brought in by Margaret Thatcher's government, that makes 'insulting behaviour' an offence - but fortunately only an offence if committed in public. Not in a back garden.

Tweets today

Daniel Hannan‏Verified account @DanielJHannan 

My order of preference on Brexit outcomes: 1. Swiss-style partnership 2. EEA 3. Minimal trade deal 4. No deal 5. Staying in 6. Customs union and EU standards as non-members - the current proposal

Alessandra‏ @alessabocchi 42 minutes agMore

Journalist to Prime Minister Giuseppe Conte: “You always said your heart beated for the Left, how can you ally with people like Salvini and Trump?” “The Left and Right dichotomies are ideologies that were created during the 20th century, I believe they have now been surpassed.”

Niccolo Soldo‏ @V4Analysis14 hours ago

The US Question: Can the GOP turn white Dem voters into GOP voters faster than the Dems can import new Dem voters?

People work much less than 40 years ago

[Presumably American] men work 12 hours fewer each week compared to 40 years ago. And while women’s paid work has increased, their time spent on housework and childcare has declined by 35 percent.

Blame Modern Life for Political Strife, by Vincent Harinam and Rob Henderson

Always trouble for someone

Apparently, George Soros lost $1 billion thinking the market would plummet after Trump took office and $2  billion betting against the possibility of Brexit. 

Danny the Fink 7 years (an epoch) ago

'For how long will it remain the case that questioning Britain’s membership of the EU will be something that cannot be done by a mainstream political figure?'
Lord Finkelstein on 2 November 2011 in The Times