Wednesday 27 February 2019

Will Brexit now happen? Probably not if it is delayed more than a couple of months

Yanis Varoufakis, once Finance Minister in the Greek far left government, was right when he said two days ago in the Daily Telegraph that the British mistake was going along with Article 50, which was written with no intention that it would ever be used.

If you have a two year deadline the real negotiation happens in the last few days. if you postpone the decision for a couple of months the decision is still postponed till the last few days.

There is no point in postponing the decision and no need for the EU to agree to do so.

If they decide that we should remain in the EU for two years that means until almost five years after the vote and that means it's hard to deny the case for another referendum. The question therefore arises: is the deal that Mrs May hopes to negotiate if we leave at the end of next month worse than staying in?

I am honestly not sure.

Jacob Rees-Mogg and the Brexiteers in the House of Commons have today decided that any deal is better than not leaving. As I knew, leaving with no deal will not happen though I think it the least bad option - least bad that is since it is too late for the Norway option that Boris Johnson would have gone for.

I remember people criticising him because Norway was seen as a soft Brexit.


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